Tuesday, June 20, 2017

#45 - More Bees With Honey


There have been times in my life when I have been stubborn, pig headed, hard-nosed, confrontational, lacking in empathy, basically times where I am ashamed to say, I have summoned my inner-Trump (Bless me Father, for I have sinned).  There have not been many, but I remember them clearly.   Happily, I can say that in all those instances, my wife was there to pull me back from the brink before any real damage was done.  Inevitably she would calmly speak to me and gently remind me that… “you get more bees with honey”. 

Now this was always a bit confusing to me, because I always thought the bees made the honey, so why do we have to give it to them if they make it? But for the sake of marital harmony, I would skip past this disconnect and jump to the important moral of her story, that perhaps I should consider a different, more thoughtful approach to solving the problem at hand. More importantly, she was trying to pull me back from going in with guns blazing  She was trying to teach me that there was a better way, a more diplomatic way. 

Over time, her message began to sink in and, I got better at it.   Over the years, I could actually predict the precise moment when she was going to hit me over the head and the “more bees with honey” words were actually going to come out of her mouth.    I like to think it proves, that despite what others may think, I am capable of evolving after all.

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Not all of us can be lucky enough to have a life partner, strong enough, smart enough, and diplomatic enough to mold us and shape us into being a better person as I have had, and in my opinion, I don't think Donald Trump has had this with any of his three wives.  In fairness to the three of them, they may have tried, and maybe they had some success, but by outright appearance, it has not been enough to make a discernable difference. In fairness to them, it may just be that he was too far gone, he may be that on this singular trait, he was, as they say, a lost cause. 

Throughout the presidential campaign, Trump employed a brand new strategy on his way to the top of heap, using a rifle shot of insults at all of his opponents, taking them out quickly and efficiently and doing it under the larger umbrella of Making America Great Again.  It had the effect of sucking all of the oxygen out of the room, completely disrupting his opponents and distracting them so their messages were drowned out.   He gained his own relevancy, in large part, by making them irrelevant.

We all remember the insults and the name calling: Low Energy Jeb, Little Marco, Lying Ted.  He dissed John McCain for being captured, despite the fact that Trump never served.  He gave out Lindsey Graham’s cell phone number. He referenced Carly Fiorini’s looks.  Mitt Romney was a loser.   And he told us something that we never knew, that Ted Cruz, as a young child had single handedly planned the assassination of JFK.  And those were just the insults directed at the members of his own party.  It was hard to believe, and while the lack of respect was telling, coming from Trump, it was not surprising

It continued with the Democrats as we were introduced to Pocahontas, formerly known as Elizabeth Warren and Crooked Hillary.  There must have been a name for Bernie, but I am doing this piece off of my aging and deteriorating memory, so I just can't remember them all.

And so the when the dust cleared the morning after the election, the country woke up to discover that American Leadership had been redefined and that American Exceptionalism seemed anything but exceptional.

Trump’s real entry in politics had begun years earlier where he felt compelled to spread rumors about the authenticity of Barack Obama’s birth certificate, an insult that he eventually had to acknowledge as false.  We also saw his lack of respect for women in the Access Hollywood Tape with Billy Bush, and the several complaints of women who have claimed they were groped by the man.

But this wasn't enough.   Along the way he felt compelled to insult both the intelligence community and of course the liberal press, whom he now attacks on a regular basis. Now, he’s upset by the fact that there are leaks in HIS government, leaks from the intelligence community to the liberal press.  And he’s shocked and surprised by this? Really?  My dog could have seen this one coming.

Then he goes on to make an enemy of the man who some say caused Hillary Clinton to lose the election (not me, mind you).  Giving Trump the benefit of the doubt, and assuming there was no collusion with the Russians (as I maintain) he incompetently acted as if there was.  And so the newest villain for Trump World, the former director of the FBI, who found out he was fired from news reports on TV, goes for payback and produces documents and testimony that leads to Trump's own justice department naming a special independent prosecutor, Robert Mueller, to investigate the matter.  Deputy Attorney General Rod Rodenstein, a highly regarded Justice Department careerist, appointed Mueller, infuriating Trump, notably we must observe, coincidently perhaps….after Trump’s White House tried to pin the firing of Comey on him.  And so we are left to just chalk all of this up to another one our president’s incredibly brilliant tactical maneuvers.

By all accounts, Trump denigrates just about everyone at one time or another, and there are many in the Republican party who fully expect to use him for their own devices, so they accept his insults, his style, his chaos, because they concluded long ago that their own ends justify any means.

While Hillary Clinton failed to endear herself to Trump Supporters, with one single collective reference to them as deplorables, President Trump  has surgically disrespected everyone else, be they Republicans of the Grand Ol’ Party, women, minorities, foreigners, Muslims, the disabled, the judiciary and Democrats with a repertoire of different insults and messages, each one more disturbing than the next.

As time passes, the perspective of history will reveal Trump to be just another one of history’s egomaniacs who motivated his supporters by declaring other groups evil.   Even now, he continues to tweet about Hillary Clinton, who is so irrelevant to the future of the country, you have to wonder why he does it.  Except we know, that is how he motivates, that is how he sells himself.  If he stops, his Ponzi scheme will be revealed, and even his own ardent supporters may come to find that this emperor has no clothes.  At a precarious time for our country when polarization of ideas has expanded beyond their customary norm, we need our leaders to be sane and civil to all Americans.  We need our leaders to set the standards for all of us to follow.  Unfortunately, this president acts as the childhood bully and has chosen to double down on all the nasty rhetoric.  It was no different when he was Citizen Trump, but he conned enough good Americans into believing that this approach represented strength, and we voted for him, we chose him to be the most powerful person on the planet.

During Trump’s recent visit at the G7 summit, he was at it again.  Appalled that some of our European allies have not paid their fair share for the defense of their own nations and for the support of NATO (there are conflicting reports on this) on his first visit on their soil, he chose to lecture to them, embarrass them, and anger them, and rather than twist their arms in private, he did it publically.  In the process he made it more difficult for them to do what he wants.  It's no secret that most Europeans are less than enchanted with Trump’s behavior, and now that their countries have been called out in front of the world, does anyone think that they are now going to willingly support their leaders and do what Trump desires?  

There may be a time when Trump wants greater cooperation from Europe on battling ISIS or North Korea or Iran or  China or Russia (OK, maybe this last one is a stretch), but if I had to guess, they are now going to be a lot more reluctant to giving this President any assistance.   And by recent accounts, the Prime Minister of Australia is working on his late night stand –up routine, all based on none other than, the Donald.  So it would appear that President Trump of America First is in danger of becoming America Alone.  If all of America’s allies were in a room, while he would receive a few positive votes, mostly from card carrying members of the Bully of the Month Club, he would still be the first one voted off the island.

Many hoped there would be a pivot, we would see a more thoughtful, more strategic Donald Trump when he became President.  Many hoped that he would hire talented advisors who would help guide and chart a more balanced approach. After all, the thinking was, this would be the only way he was going to win friends and influence enemies.

None of this would come to be.   It was clear several months into his new administration that, sadly, this dog was completely incapable of learning new tricks.  His vision of making America great again would prove too myopic to be sustainable.  He hit his ceiling for popularity on November 8, 2016, when he legitimately won the presidency, by losing the popular vote.  From that moment forward, there was only one direction for this man, and that was down. The handwriting was on the wall when it was clear, there would be no honeymoon for this President, not because of the left leaning press or the Never-Trumpers, but because he had difficulty getting out of his own way, because he thought he could govern the way he campaigned, and most importantly because his talents as a salesman and his skills in managing his real estate company represented the ceiling of this man’s leadership potential.

Oh, let me be clear, only a very small percentage of those good people, who truly believed that Trump would offer a different way, a better way, of governing, of leading our country, agree with what I have said, and that’s understandable, today, but it's only a matter of time.  There will be an occasional win over the next few years, the laws of statistics will see to that, but there will be no upsurge in support.

There will be no more bees to gather for his hive.  A few more springs will come and go, but no new bees will wish to visit this President’s Rose Garden. None of them want in. None of them buy this beekeeper's vision for America.  

Provided that Republicans don’t willingly try to replace Donald with a good old fashioned Republican who actually has some innate skills and common sense, the Democrats need only put forth an average candidate who can actually string a couple of sentences together in 2020, and they will own the White House again.

It’s a shame really.  It could have been extremely interesting, having a businessman, and not a politician as president.  Maybe we would have learned some new ways, some better ways we might govern ourselves. And maybe we would have been able to build on it and improve our imperfect democracy.  But sadly, the country picked the wrong businessman for this experiment.  Four years will have been wasted and we will have to go back to the drawing board in our quest to find new ways to move the country forward

It might have been different, if he just wasn't perversely compelled to piss off everyone. If he just tried to treat those who disagreed with him with a modicum of civility, maybe they would have been willing to give him more of a chance. But his constant disrespect of them, of all of them eventually shut the door to that possibility.

This is solely his doing  This is solely because of the path he chose, because the path that Salesmen Trump sold us on to Make America Great Again was just oh so small.

Wednesday, June 7, 2017

#44 - Occam's Razor

Occam's Razor is a principle from philosophy. Suppose two explanations exist for an occurrence. In this case the simpler one is usually better. Another way of saying it is that the more assumptions you have to make, the more unlikely an explanation is.

This is worthy of note, because despite what my more liberal friends would like to think, I don't believe Donald Trump is personally guilty of collusion with the Russians in last November’s presidential  election.  It's the reason why I have written sparingly on this topic

In the beginning, my opinion was formed by my belief that Trump wouldn't be that dumb to actually try to coordinate and work the process and execute whatever nefarious steps would need to be taken, and actually risk getting caught.  As much as he wanted to be a winner, as much as he wanted to beat Hillary Clinton, as much as he apparently wanted a bro-mance with Vladimir, I just never thought that he was crazy enough to try and pull it off.  

However, my opinion on this topic has actually changed over the last couple of months.

Oh it's not that I think he colluded in any way, I still don’t believe that.  It’s just based on his ongoing ineptitude and that of his administration; I came to the realization that the simple answer is, he doesn't have the required competency to pull it off. 

On any given day, he causes more damage to his own administration than all the collective liberals, democrats and republican Never-Trumpers combined.  Knowing this, how could he possibly be competent enough to proactively collude with the Russians?

No, it's just not possible.  Occam’s Razor tells us the simpler explanation rules.

To my more liberal friends, this realization will be disappointing.  They may harbor hopes that proof of collusion would lead to impeachment by the Republican controlled House and the Republican controlled Senate.  No, that is not going to happen.

I have to add that while I do believe a Pence administration would be better for the country overall, despite the man’s homophobic tendencies, on a purely personal note I don't want to see the Trump administration go away.  No, not at all.  As an amateur blogger, it offers up so much daily material, one does not know where to begin.  As I have said, it is the gift that keeps on giving.

No I don't want to see Trump go away.

For when you get right down to it, I am a lot like Donald Trump himself….It’s all about me.    


Tuesday, June 6, 2017

#43 - Dispruption as a Doctrine

Dispruption as a Doctrine

That’s how Richard Haass, President of the Council on Foreign Relations refers to Trump’s foreign policy. I have listened to Haass over the years and found him to be extremely knowledgeable, credible and balanced as a foreign affairs expert who can think long term and do so strategically.  Most noteworthy, he is a Republican who served under George H.W. Bush, was a close advisor of Colin Powell and has been critical of Obama’s foreign affairs endeavors as many times as he has been supportive.  This is important for me as I want to improve my understanding of the world from someone who is not in the bag for liberals, Democrats, or the left leaning press, nor from someone who lives and breathes the unique perspective of the Fox News Channel.

His commentary on Morning Joe yesterday morning provided a fair synopsis of where we are with Trump's management of world affairs, or more precisely lack thereof.   He cited Trump’s pulling out of TPP, his failure to reaffirm Article 5 of the NATO agreement and now his decision to pull the plug on the Paris Accord as three examples which don't add long term value to the U.S., but Haass’s more important point  was that Trump offers no vision for the future.

He went on to say that Trump has this amazing inheritance of goodwill which the US has painstakingly been built up over 70+ years by Republicans and Democrats alike, and he is systematically, check that, he is unsystematically tearing it down with nothing to put in its place.

He ended his commentary with an appropriate analogy stating that this is the equivalent of a health care debate.   This is repeal without replace.

Expanding on Haass’s comments, the pulling out of TPP, under the rationale of improving trade for the U.S., has only served to improve China’s relationships with the other 13 partner countries who participated.   His failure to reaffirm article 5 of the NATO agreement, was baffling as this was something all US presidents have done since 1948, and by some accounts came as a surprise to critical members of his own team including McMaster, Tillerson and Maddox.  His public lecturing of NATO leaders for failure to pay their full share of funds to the organization (some reports have said this is inaccurate, but giving Trump the benefit of the doubt) was an opportunity to show some diplomacy and could have been delivered in private.   Instead, it was more important for Trump to show everyone how tough he was by publicly embarrassing his them. And that was before he made the call to pull out of the Paris Accord, which according to a recently released Washington Post – ABC poll, showed that 55 percent of Americans believe the decision hurts U.S. leadership in the world, while just 18 percent said it would help American leadership’s standing.  All of this has only served to astonish them our allies. 

Trump’s strategic approach to showcasing US strength, apparently centers around pissing them off our closest allies in the process.

Layer in the fact that Trump wants to cut the State Department budget 31%, and by all accounts he can't fill open positions fast enough. I have to conclude that Haas's is correct.  Of the Trump administration on foreign affairs, all we have seen Is a desire to disrupt. 

I do disagree with Haass on one point though.   This is not a doctrine, it’s dogma.

#42 - The Walll Street Journal Calls Out The Number One Enemy of the State


No it wasn't the Liberal Press, Nancy Pelosi, the Judiciary branch of government or ISIS, it was Donald Trump himself

In today's opinion piece, entitled "The Buck Stops Everywhere Else", the conservative Wall Street Journal discusses yesterday's twitter storm where Mr. Trump first ex­pressed sol­i­dar­ity with the British peo­ple af­ter the Lon­don ter­ror attack, but then  as­sailed Lon­don Mayor Sadiq Khan, a Muslim, for sup­posedly min­i­miz­ing the threat, though what Mr. Khan said was that there was no rea­son to be alarmed by an en­larged po­lice pres­ence af­ter the ram­page. “Pa­thetic ex­cuse,” Mr. Trump called it.

The opinion piece goes on to address several tweets on his, using his own word, travel ban

“Peo­ple, the lawyers and the courts can call it what­ever they want,” Mr. Trump wrote. “I am call­ing it what we need and what it is, a TRAVEL BAN!” Mr. Trump added that “The Jus­tice Dept. should have stayed with the orig­i­nal Travel Ban, not the wa­tered down, po­lit­i­cally cor­rect ver­sion they sub­mit­ted to S.C.”

The authors argue that Trump is simultaneously sabotaging the legal basis for the travel ban by exercising core presidential powers over foreign affairs which is counterproductive and the courts won't like.  Layer on the fact that he is throwing his own team under the bus, the piece comments that Attorney General Jeff Sessions would be justified in resigning, as would others, leaving the Trump Administration made up of family members and Steve Bannon.

In closing the piece says: "In other words, in 140-char­ac­ter in­cre­ments, Mr. Trump di­min­ished his own stand­ing by caus­ing a mi­nor in­ternational in­ci­dent, demonstrated that the loy­alty he de­mands of the peo­ple who work for him isn’t rec­i­p­ro­cal, set back his pol­icy goals and wasted time that he could have de­voted to health care, tax re­form or “in­frastructure week.” Mark it all down as fur­ther ev­i­dence that the most ef­fec­tive op­po­nent of the Trump Pres­i­dency is Don­ald J. Trump."

We welcome the Wall Street Journal to the Bizarro World of Donald Trump, and we encourage their ongoing perspective.  I would be thrilled if their presence, their firepower completely diminishes my own very tiny voice. This would be a win of huge proportions. Big League.  Believe me.  Of course it would mean that I would have to find another hobby.  Who knows? Maybe there is still time to take up golf..

Sunday, June 4, 2017

#41 - Communications 101

My staff is probably tired of me saying it, but I have used the old adage “Communicate early and often” well, and I am not trying to be funny here, ...often.   Maybe it's because I am officially the oldest guy in the office and I have seen things in my lifetime get messed up badly, simply because party A was not talking to Party B.  Bad things happen in a vacuum.

They also know, I am not a fan of the “work from home” approach that some companies employ.  It's not because of lack of trust, but for purposes of more effective communication because, again as I say with some frequency “face-to-face meetings are better than phone calls, and phone calls are better than email”.

Not said, but implied, is that ”email is better than tweeting”.   Thankfully, we are not yet tweeting at one another in our office, so I can leave that part out.

So, I was disturbed to read in a Wall Street Journal article last Saturday about possible changes in the Trump Administration which stated that “Another consideration is scal­ing back on daily press brief­ings.”

I understand that President Trump is not happy with the press coverage he has received since he won the election last November.  He clearly feels mistreated by the press and believes that problems of his administration and indeed the country, are compounded by their actions. I would argue that he has exacerbated the problem greatly by his own actions, including calling the press out as enemies, and not being fully transparent on many issues.

I am sure President Trump disagrees with me completely, but either way, one thing I know is that you can't fix a problem by hiding from it.  Scaling back on daily press briefings will not improve things for his administration or for the country.  He will not be able to tweet his way into the hearts and minds of the majority of the company who have concerns about his administration. All good leaders understand the importance of communicating early and often, to get their messages out, whatever they are.  To hide from this important responsibility is just cowardly.  Bad things happen in a vacuum.



















Briefings


#40 - A Tragic Comedy Failure

A comedian’s talent is to take the truth and exaggerate it in a humorous way, so that it resonates with their audience.   And the really good ones make you laugh with only subtle changes in the truth.  The poor ones distort the truth so much, they create their own narrative, and they still think they are funny.  

Kathy Griffin’s bloodied, severed head of Donald Trump with a reference to Trump’s admittedly pitiful comment about Megyn Kelly is a completely different narrative, is vile and repugnant, and worst of all for any comedian, is not the least bit humorous. 

I never thought Kathy Griffin was very funny, and she just affirmed that for me.  

CNN apparently feels the same way.  Thankfully, we won't have to watch her on New Year's Eve any more. And I now have a good reason to try and make it past midnight.